Forecasts

When could it arrive?

Predictions from surveys, forecasters and lab leaders. Definitions differ, so compare within a target.

20252050207521002125

Dashed line = today. Dot = year with ~50% probability.

The same researchers expected full automation of all occupations much later: 10% by 2037 and 50% by 2116, versus 2164 in the 2022 survey.